|
Post by MetrolineGA1511 on Apr 25, 2015 23:35:30 GMT
At the forthcoming General Election, I think several seats in London could change hands. In descending order, I think the most likely examples are
Brent Central - Liberal Democrat to Labour Hendon - Conservative to Labour Hornsey & Wood Green - Liberal Democrat to Labour Kingston & Surbiton - Liberal Democrat to Conservative Enfield North - Conservative to Labour Harrow East - Conservative to Labour Croydon Central - Conservative to Labour Finchley & Golders Green - Conservative to Labour
Despite seeing predictions about the Liberal Democrats losing Bermondsey to Labour and Twickenham to the Conservatives, I think the Liberal Democrats will hold these seats.
|
|
|
Post by vjaska on Apr 25, 2015 23:44:39 GMT
At the forthcoming General Election, I think several seats in London could change hands. In descending order, I think the most likely examples are Brent Central - Liberal Democrat to Labour Hendon - Conservative to Labour Hornsey & Wood Green - Liberal Democrat to Labour Kingston & Surbiton - Liberal Democrat to Conservative Enfield North - Conservative to Labour Harrow East - Conservative to Labour Croydon Central - Conservative to Labour Finchley & Golders Green - Conservative to Labour Despite seeing predictions about the Liberal Democrats losing Bermondsey to Labour and Twickenham to the Conservatives, I think the Liberal Democrats will hold these seats. Interesting stuff. Personally, I think the Lib Dems will only hold onto Twickenham as I'm led to believe the locals find Vince Cable quite decent. I've heard that Simon Hughes may lose its seat and that it's far from guaranteed. Unfortunately, I have to make do with Chuka Umunna as my local MP as the other candidates aren't terribly appealing.
|
|
|
Post by MetrolineGA1511 on Apr 25, 2015 23:52:55 GMT
Interesting stuff. Personally, I think the Lib Dems will only hold onto Twickenham as I'm led to believe the locals find Vince Cable quite decent. I've heard that Simon Hughes may lose its seat and that it's far from guaranteed. Unfortunately, I have to make do with Chuka Umunna as my local MP as the other candidates aren't terribly appealing. Thanks Vjaska. I remember Streatham being one of about a dozen London seats that Labour picked up in 1992 (by Chuka's predecessor). It has since then become so solidly Labour that it is not treated as a marginal seat these days. Natalie Bennett, Green Party Leader, is standing in Holborn & St Pancras, where recent Labour MP Frank Dobson has just stood down. In practice is it probably too solidly Labour for her to have a chance of victory there.
|
|
|
Post by vjaska on Apr 25, 2015 23:58:52 GMT
Interesting stuff. Personally, I think the Lib Dems will only hold onto Twickenham as I'm led to believe the locals find Vince Cable quite decent. I've heard that Simon Hughes may lose its seat and that it's far from guaranteed. Unfortunately, I have to make do with Chuka Umunna as my local MP as the other candidates aren't terribly appealing. Thanks Vjaska. I remember Streatham being one of about a dozen London seats that Labour picked up in 1992 (by Chuka's predecessor). It has since then become so solidly Labour that it is not treated as a marginal seat these days. Natalie Bennett, Green Party Leader, is standing in Holborn & St Pancras, where recent Labour MP Frank Dobson has just stood down. In practice is it probably too solidly Labour for her to have a chance of victory there. I really, really hope she doesn't get in lol. The 1992 Labour gain in Streatham you mention (I was 3 at the time so apologies if this is wrong) - was it not Keith Hill? If so, he seemed to very good and helped us find a school place for my brother after both our local schools turned him down in the beginning.
|
|
|
Post by MetrolineGA1511 on Apr 26, 2015 0:03:02 GMT
Yes Vjaska, his name sounded familiar and I have seen that he was the Streatham MP in 1992-2010!
|
|
|
Post by londonbuses67 on Apr 26, 2015 7:48:07 GMT
At the forthcoming General Election, I think several seats in London could change hands. In descending order, I think the most likely examples are Brent Central - Liberal Democrat to Labour Hendon - Conservative to Labour Hornsey & Wood Green - Liberal Democrat to Labour Kingston & Surbiton - Liberal Democrat to Conservative Enfield North - Conservative to Labour Harrow East - Conservative to Labour Croydon Central - Conservative to Labour Finchley & Golders Green - Conservative to Labour Despite seeing predictions about the Liberal Democrats losing Bermondsey to Labour and Twickenham to the Conservatives, I think the Liberal Democrats will hold these seats. Regarding the London seats that will change hands in the General Election, I agree with the above. However with Simon Hughes' and Vince Cable's seat, I think that Simon Hughes is set to lose his seat to Labour with Vince Cable holding on in Twickenham.
|
|
|
Post by snoggle on Apr 26, 2015 11:34:25 GMT
At the forthcoming General Election, I think several seats in London could change hands. In descending order, I think the most likely examples are Brent Central - Liberal Democrat to Labour Hendon - Conservative to Labour Hornsey & Wood Green - Liberal Democrat to Labour Kingston & Surbiton - Liberal Democrat to Conservative Enfield North - Conservative to Labour Harrow East - Conservative to Labour Croydon Central - Conservative to Labour Finchley & Golders Green - Conservative to Labour Despite seeing predictions about the Liberal Democrats losing Bermondsey to Labour and Twickenham to the Conservatives, I think the Liberal Democrats will hold these seats. I think you've missed a few other seats which are likely to swap party. Brentford and Isleworth - Tory to Labour Ealing Central and Acton - Tory to Labour Ilford North - Tory to Labour (depends on the swing but at risk given Redbridge Council went Labour last year) Carshalton and Wallington - Lib Dem to Tory Sutton and Cheam - Lib Dem to Tory Labour are certainly battling hard to boot out Simon Hughes but I suspect that's a very tight race. I don't see Vince Cable losing his seat. I must admit to wanting Nick Clegg to lose his in Sheffield. That'll be "moment of the night" if it happens on 7/8 May.
|
|
|
Post by MetrolineGA1511 on Apr 26, 2015 18:37:58 GMT
Those changes are also possible too. It would indeed be spectacular if Nick Clegg loses his Sheffield Hallam seat. By way of a true story, I had a daytrip of north Derbyshire & Sheffield planned for yesterday, but postponed it in case he loses his seat which would make a visit there more exciting!
|
|
|
Post by l1group on Apr 28, 2015 21:32:04 GMT
Brentford and Isleworth - Tory to Labour Ealing Central and Acton - Tory to Labour Ilford North - Tory to Labour (depends on the swing but at risk given Redbridge Council went Labour last year) Carshalton and Wallington - Lib Dem to Tory Sutton and Cheam - Lib Dem to Tory Labour are certainly battling hard to boot out Simon Hughes but I suspect that's a very tight race. I don't see Vince Cable losing his seat. I must admit to wanting Nick Clegg to lose his in Sheffield. That'll be "moment of the night" if it happens on 7/8 May. I don't see Vince lose his seat either. Brentford & Isleworth - Ruth Cadbury seems quite good, and both Ealing Ctrl-Acton and Brentford-Isleworth seem to have a "Labour side" (Acton and Brentford/Isleworth respectively) and a "Conservative side" (Ealing Ctrl (I'm guessing) and Chiswick respectively), so things will be quite interesting there. I'm voting for the first time (yay!), and it seems well that I'm in a swing seat. Mary Macleod MP - at least she is trying to handle the Turnham Green Picc line stop well, but otherwise I've seen not much change. Brentford Dockside still isn't regenerated yet (oh, and suddenly plans are starting now, I wonder why(!)!) Some of the North London seats are way too hard to call. Kingston - I've heard the Lib Dems have been alright in the local seat, but I feel annoyed that they are probably going to lose it due to their national woes.
|
|
|
Post by snoggle on Apr 28, 2015 21:47:32 GMT
I don't see Vince lose his seat either. Brentford & Isleworth - Ruth Cadbury seems quite good, and both Ealing Ctrl-Acton and Brentford-Isleworth seem to have a "Labour side" (Acton and Brentford/Isleworth respectively) and a "Conservative side" (Ealing Ctrl (I'm guessing) and Chiswick respectively), so things will be quite interesting there. I'm voting for the first time (yay!), and it seems well that I'm in a swing seat. Mary Macleod MP - at least she is trying to handle the Turnham Green Picc line stop well, but otherwise I've seen not much change. Brentford Dockside still isn't regenerated yet (oh, and suddenly plans are starting now, I wonder why(!)!) Some of the North London seats are way too hard to call. Kingston - I've heard the Lib Dems have been alright in the local seat, but I feel annoyed that they are probably going to lose it due to their national woes. Sorry to burst the Turnham Green bubble but Mrs MacLeod has not been at all honest about that. She thinks trains will be stopping some time soon whereas the reality is that it will be at least another 7-8 years before they can. This is because the ability of the timetable to cope with the stop is entirely dependent on the Picc Line upgrade happening which itself is now firmly behind the SSR resignalling. As the SSR upgrade has gone up hugely in price and is delayed by 4 years it means that Mary's promise is effectively worthless. (The Picc Line upgrade will be almost a decade late compared with the original PPP deadline). Has she admitted this in public? - err, no. Has she taken Boris to task for betraying her constituents through TfL's incompetence in handling the procurement process for the SSR resignalling? - err, no. I have also seen her waffle / borderine lie on BBC Sunday Politics London about much needed capacity improvements at Gunnersbury which can't cope with peak hour demand. I'm not aware she's done anything about that at all and there are no plans for substantial capital spend there. Didn't stop her trying to claim that improvements were due when there's no evidence for that at all. Similarly Angie Bray (Ealing Central and Acton) was pretty clueless about crossrail despite it being in the middle of her constituency. For the sake of balance Andy Slaughter (Lab - Hammersmith) seemed not to understand public transport in London either. It left me wondering if they ever used the bus or train or ever spoke to their constituents! Enjoy your enthusiasm in being a new time voter. I firmly believe people should vote but this election campaign is the most appalling one I have ever experienced. It will be a struggle for me to find the will to go to the Polling Station on 7 May 2015 because politics has become an utter disaster in this country. Give me the late 1970s anytime - at least we had "big" politicians back then who had a bit more about them than this current lot. I like conviction politicians even if I hate their particular politics because they make you think about what they say. No one in the current campaign has done this. I hate feeling like this about an election because elections are important but our politicians - a pox on all their houses.
|
|
|
Post by l1group on Apr 28, 2015 22:09:01 GMT
Brentford & Isleworth - Ruth Cadbury seems quite good, and both Ealing Ctrl-Acton and Brentford-Isleworth seem to have a "Labour side" (Acton and Brentford/Isleworth respectively) and a "Conservative side" (Ealing Ctrl (I'm guessing) and Chiswick respectively), so things will be quite interesting there. I'm voting for the first time (yay!), and it seems well that I'm in a swing seat. Mary Macleod MP - at least she is trying to handle the Turnham Green Picc line stop well, but otherwise I've seen not much change. Sorry to burst the Turnham Green bubble but Mrs MacLeod has not been at all honest about that. She thinks trains will be stopping some time soon whereas the reality is that it will be at least another 7-8 years before they can. This is because the ability of the timetable to cope with the stop is entirely dependent on the Picc Line upgrade happening which itself is now firmly behind the SSR resignalling. As the SSR upgrade has gone up hugely in price and is delayed by 4 years it means that Mary's promise is effectively worthless. (The Picc Line upgrade will be almost a decade late compared with the original PPP deadline). Has she admitted this in public? - err, no. Has she taken Boris to task for betraying her constituents through TfL's incompetence in handling the procurement process for the SSR resignalling? - err, no. I have also seen her waffle / borderine lie on BBC Sunday Politics London about much needed capacity improvements at Gunnersbury which can't cope with peak hour demand. I'm not aware she's done anything about that at all and there are no plans for substantial capital spend there. Didn't stop her trying to claim that improvements were due when there's no evidence for that at all. Similarly Angie Bray (Ealing Central and Acton) was pretty clueless about crossrail despite it being in the middle of her constituency. For the sake of balance Andy Slaughter (Lab - Hammersmith) seemed not to understand public transport in London either. It left me wondering if they ever used the bus or train or ever spoke to their constituents! Enjoy your enthusiasm in being a new time voter. I firmly believe people should vote but this election campaign is the most appalling one I have ever experienced. It will be a struggle for me to find the will to go to the Polling Station on 7 May 2015 because politics has become an utter disaster in this country. Give me the late 1970s anytime - at least we had "big" politicians back then who had a bit more about them than this current lot. I like conviction politicians even if I hate their particular politics because they make you think about what they say. No one in the current campaign has done this. I hate feeling like this about an election because elections are important but our politicians - a pox on all their houses. Studying the Cold War in A2 History darn makes me think about how inefficient the politicians of today are. When I saw the Conservative leaflet through my door, I read that they would fund my school to refurbish the sports hall. Now, if I'm not mistaken, it's the same party that removed the possibility to actually have new classrooms (which is what we need) without expansion (the site is too darn small for more, it's overcrowded as it is!). I actually laughed at it. I also laughed at the Conservative propaganda about Labour-SNP. About the Turnham Green stop - it's at least more than what I've heard before, which was exactly nothing. The SSL shambles (let alone the Picc upgrade being about at least a few years late now and counting). Gunnersbury is a shambles, and Chiswick Park is way too sparse in contrast. The building of Lionel Road (Brentford FC ) just adds to the crowds. I don't see any avocation for the Hounslow Loop line from her. I don't think Mary Macleod has been useful in any case. All I've seen is no change. Just my school getting cheaper and cheaper. Sooner or later, we'd be forced to change status to gain money (to an Academy). Under the Conservatives, all secondary schools in LB Hounslow except Heathlands and Gunnersbury (mine) have turned into academies. Not surprised. It seems heavy exam results seem to drive people towards my school, which seems to be some sort of a success story under a very very tight budget (if there was one!). No matter how much criticism I give it, I still can't believe it's still running under the financial situation it is in! Not being aware of a major transport project right through your constituency is another thing. It's actually so bad it's probably insulting. The ideals of all these random possible coalitions make me immediately think of Germany, where it's nearly impossible to gain a majority! I'm ideologically left-centre, and find it shocking that so many of the youth are so ignorant about their surroundings and politics (as seen in my school). A few of my friends and I speak about wanting politics to be taught to people at a younger age. I already know who I'm voting for. I'm glad I'm finally able to vote. Thanks
|
|
|
Post by vjaska on Apr 28, 2015 23:40:17 GMT
I don't see Vince lose his seat either. Brentford & Isleworth - Ruth Cadbury seems quite good, and both Ealing Ctrl-Acton and Brentford-Isleworth seem to have a "Labour side" (Acton and Brentford/Isleworth respectively) and a "Conservative side" (Ealing Ctrl (I'm guessing) and Chiswick respectively), so things will be quite interesting there. I'm voting for the first time (yay!), and it seems well that I'm in a swing seat. Mary Macleod MP - at least she is trying to handle the Turnham Green Picc line stop well, but otherwise I've seen not much change. Brentford Dockside still isn't regenerated yet (oh, and suddenly plans are starting now, I wonder why(!)!) Some of the North London seats are way too hard to call. Kingston - I've heard the Lib Dems have been alright in the local seat, but I feel annoyed that they are probably going to lose it due to their national woes. Sorry to burst the Turnham Green bubble but Mrs MacLeod has not been at all honest about that. She thinks trains will be stopping some time soon whereas the reality is that it will be at least another 7-8 years before they can. This is because the ability of the timetable to cope with the stop is entirely dependent on the Picc Line upgrade happening which itself is now firmly behind the SSR resignalling. As the SSR upgrade has gone up hugely in price and is delayed by 4 years it means that Mary's promise is effectively worthless. (The Picc Line upgrade will be almost a decade late compared with the original PPP deadline). Has she admitted this in public? - err, no. Has she taken Boris to task for betraying her constituents through TfL's incompetence in handling the procurement process for the SSR resignalling? - err, no. I have also seen her waffle / borderine lie on BBC Sunday Politics London about much needed capacity improvements at Gunnersbury which can't cope with peak hour demand. I'm not aware she's done anything about that at all and there are no plans for substantial capital spend there. Didn't stop her trying to claim that improvements were due when there's no evidence for that at all. Similarly Angie Bray (Ealing Central and Acton) was pretty clueless about crossrail despite it being in the middle of her constituency. For the sake of balance Andy Slaughter (Lab - Hammersmith) seemed not to understand public transport in London either. It left me wondering if they ever used the bus or train or ever spoke to their constituents! Enjoy your enthusiasm in being a new time voter. I firmly believe people should vote but this election campaign is the most appalling one I have ever experienced. It will be a struggle for me to find the will to go to the Polling Station on 7 May 2015 because politics has become an utter disaster in this country. Give me the late 1970s anytime - at least we had "big" politicians back then who had a bit more about them than this current lot. I like conviction politicians even if I hate their particular politics because they make you think about what they say. No one in the current campaign has done this. I hate feeling like this about an election because elections are important but our politicians - a pox on all their houses. Ironically, it's also my first general election as I never voted last time (I've voted in two previous London mayor elections though) and I'm sorry but this time, I really need to vote to keep the Tories out. What they've done so far and what's to come is utterly appalling - for me, it's an 'anything but them' scenario'. My heart says Labour but my head says, "Step away from the ballot box and put the ballot paper down"
|
|
|
Post by jrussa on Apr 29, 2015 0:38:33 GMT
Brentford and Isleworth - Tory to Labour Ealing Central and Acton - Tory to Labour Ilford North - Tory to Labour (depends on the swing but at risk given Redbridge Council went Labour last year) Carshalton and Wallington - Lib Dem to Tory Sutton and Cheam - Lib Dem to Tory Labour are certainly battling hard to boot out Simon Hughes but I suspect that's a very tight race. I don't see Vince Cable losing his seat. I must admit to wanting Nick Clegg to lose his in Sheffield. That'll be "moment of the night" if it happens on 7/8 May. I don't see Vince lose his seat either. Brentford & Isleworth - Ruth Cadbury seems quite good, and both Ealing Ctrl-Acton and Brentford-Isleworth seem to have a "Labour side" (Acton and Brentford/Isleworth respectively) and a "Conservative side" (Ealing Ctrl (I'm guessing) and Chiswick respectively), so things will be quite interesting there. I'm voting for the first time (yay!), and it seems well that I'm in a swing seat. Mary Macleod MP - at least she is trying to handle the Turnham Green Picc line stop well, but otherwise I've seen not much change. Brentford Dockside still isn't regenerated yet (oh, and suddenly plans are starting now, I wonder why(!)!) Some of the North London seats are way too hard to call. Kingston - I've heard the Lib Dems have been alright in the local seat, but I feel annoyed that they are probably going to lose it due to their national woes. Sutton and Carshalton seats should be retained by the Lib Dems. Tom Brake who is the MP for Carshalton is a very good MP in my opinion. I follow him on twitter and he follows me and I have spoken to him a few times. NB// He campaigned for the re-introduction of route N213 to Croydon, but managed to get Route 154 to operate later.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 29, 2015 6:45:59 GMT
I don't see Vince lose his seat either. Brentford & Isleworth - Ruth Cadbury seems quite good, and both Ealing Ctrl-Acton and Brentford-Isleworth seem to have a "Labour side" (Acton and Brentford/Isleworth respectively) and a "Conservative side" (Ealing Ctrl (I'm guessing) and Chiswick respectively), so things will be quite interesting there. I'm voting for the first time (yay!), and it seems well that I'm in a swing seat. Mary Macleod MP - at least she is trying to handle the Turnham Green Picc line stop well, but otherwise I've seen not much change. Brentford Dockside still isn't regenerated yet (oh, and suddenly plans are starting now, I wonder why(!)!) Some of the North London seats are way too hard to call. Kingston - I've heard the Lib Dems have been alright in the local seat, but I feel annoyed that they are probably going to lose it due to their national woes. Sutton and Carshalton seats should be retained by the Lib Dems. Tom Brake who is the MP for Carshalton is a very good MP in my opinion. I follow him on twitter and he follows me and I have spoken to him a few times. NB// He campaigned for the re-introduction of route N213 to Croydon, but managed to get Route 154 to operate later. Albeit in the wrong direction lol, but I did go to him with regards another issue getting home from Sutton - Purley overnight. Takes three buses (N44. 264 & N68). The connection time at Mitcham from N44 to 264 is about two minutes. Ridiculous. Believe they have now altered the timetable slightly.
|
|
Deleted
Deleted Member
Posts: 0
|
Post by Deleted on Apr 29, 2015 6:46:47 GMT
Sorry to burst the Turnham Green bubble but Mrs MacLeod has not been at all honest about that. She thinks trains will be stopping some time soon whereas the reality is that it will be at least another 7-8 years before they can. This is because the ability of the timetable to cope with the stop is entirely dependent on the Picc Line upgrade happening which itself is now firmly behind the SSR resignalling. As the SSR upgrade has gone up hugely in price and is delayed by 4 years it means that Mary's promise is effectively worthless. (The Picc Line upgrade will be almost a decade late compared with the original PPP deadline). Has she admitted this in public? - err, no. Has she taken Boris to task for betraying her constituents through TfL's incompetence in handling the procurement process for the SSR resignalling? - err, no. I have also seen her waffle / borderine lie on BBC Sunday Politics London about much needed capacity improvements at Gunnersbury which can't cope with peak hour demand. I'm not aware she's done anything about that at all and there are no plans for substantial capital spend there. Didn't stop her trying to claim that improvements were due when there's no evidence for that at all. Similarly Angie Bray (Ealing Central and Acton) was pretty clueless about crossrail despite it being in the middle of her constituency. For the sake of balance Andy Slaughter (Lab - Hammersmith) seemed not to understand public transport in London either. It left me wondering if they ever used the bus or train or ever spoke to their constituents! Enjoy your enthusiasm in being a new time voter. I firmly believe people should vote but this election campaign is the most appalling one I have ever experienced. It will be a struggle for me to find the will to go to the Polling Station on 7 May 2015 because politics has become an utter disaster in this country. Give me the late 1970s anytime - at least we had "big" politicians back then who had a bit more about them than this current lot. I like conviction politicians even if I hate their particular politics because they make you think about what they say. No one in the current campaign has done this. I hate feeling like this about an election because elections are important but our politicians - a pox on all their houses. Ironically, it's also my first general election as I never voted last time (I've voted in two previous London mayor elections though) and I'm sorry but this time, I really need to vote to keep the Tories out. What they've done so far and what's to come is utterly appalling - for me, it's an 'anything but them' scenario'. My heart says Labour but my head says, "Step away from the ballot box and put the ballot paper down" LIKE LIKE LIKE!
|
|