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Post by busman on Oct 9, 2023 8:57:38 GMT
I did these stats last year with the 2021/22 data, but passenger figures have mostly recovered since COVID in the past year, so these figures show more long-term changes in usage.
Top 30 routes with highest percentage change in usage compared to 2018/19:
(New routes 218, 278, 301, 306, 335, 378, 456, 497, 533 and X140 not included). 1. Route 404 - 210.26% (=) 2. Route 110 - 205.14% (=) 3. Route 423 - 193.12% (=) 4. Route 419 - 163.44% (=) 5. Route 112 - 136.05% (=) 6. Route 129 - 133.92% (new) 7. Route 440 - 130.85% (-1) 8. Route 425 - 130.71% (-1) 9. Route 384 - 125.04% (-1) 10. Route 289 - 119.77% (-1) 11. Route 26 - 117.32% (=) 12. Route 490 - 114.24% (=) 13. Route H98 - 112.62% (new) 14. Route 35 - 112.62% (=) 15. Route 482 - 112.16% (+6) 16. Route 90 - 111.91% (-3) 17. Route 481 - 106.97% (new) 18. Route 125 - 106.88% (-8) 19. Route D8 - 106.75% (new) 20. Route 158 - 106.63% (-2) 21. Route 375 - 104.58% (new) 22. Route 127 - 103.93% (=) 23. Route X26 - 103.42% (new) 24. Route 232 - 103.16% (-9) 25. Route 222 - 101.92% (new) 26. Route 60 - 101.41% (-9) 27. Route 81 - 101.31% (new) 28. Route EL1 - 101.18% (-12) 29. Route 296 - 100.59% (new) 30. Route 287 - 100.40% (-10) Top 30 routes with lowest percentage change in usage compared to 2018/19:
(Withdrawn routes 10, 15H, 48, 305, 391, C2, RV1 and W10 not included). 1. Route 209 - 6.87% (=) 2. Route 72 - 29.66% (+2) 3. Route 507 - 31.84% (-1) 4. Route 521 - 41.51% (-1) 5. Route U10 - 44.71% (+19) 6. Route 45 - 44.82% (-1) 7. Route 414 - 50.81% (+13) 8. Route 266 - 54.87% (-1) 9. Route 67 - 55.40% (-1) 10. Route 27 - 55.89% (+3) 11. Route 12 - 56.90% (new) 12. Route 140 - 56.92% (-3) 13. Route 549 - 58.94% (new) 14. Route 299 - 61.67% (+15) 15. Route 327 - 61.80% (-4) 16. Route 171 - 61.82% (new) 17. Route 228 - 62.02% (new) 18. Route 224 - 62.29%(new) 19. Route 464 - 62.75% (new) 20. Route A10 - 62.84% (-8) 21. Route 104 - 62.97% (new) 22. Route R8 - 63.32% (-8) 23. Route 485 - 63.69% (new) 24. Route S4 - 64.78% (new) 25. Route B11 - 64.87% (new) 26. Route H20 - 64.92% (new) 27. Route 134 - 65.20% (-12) 28. Route 379 - 65.32% (new) 29. Route 25 - 65.53% (-10) 30. Route 346 - 65.67% (-14) Interesting analysis. From looking at the top gainers and losers in patronage, the major factor is that these are routes that have been lengthened, shortened or newly introduced since 2018. For example the increase in the 425 is directly correlated to the decrease in the 25. What was the total number of journeys for day and night routes in your 2018 analysis compared to the latest set of figures? |
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Post by tooting395 on Oct 9, 2023 19:21:50 GMT
353 to Croydon to restore the Croydon to Orpington link with the 464 extended to Forestdale could work. I think if the 353 took the Coombe lane route it would not add too many problems but tfl probably would not allow a bus to parellel the tram even if it was lower frequency. 353 could terminate at East Croydon and not compete with the tram too much as people prefer a direct link into town centre. Would a 2bph with tiny buses work be enough capacity for Forestdale? Not sure is 2bph would be enough but I would imagine the majority of journeys from Forestdale would be to connect to the tramlink at Addington village. So most of the journeys would be self contained to a small section but I don't have the full data, just from anecdotal experience. |
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Post by tooting395 on Oct 9, 2023 19:23:16 GMT
353 to Croydon to restore the Croydon to Orpington link with the 464 extended to Forestdale could work. I think if the 353 took the Coombe lane route it would not add too many problems but tfl probably would not allow a bus to parellel the tram even if it was lower frequency. 353 could terminate at East Croydon and not compete with the tram too much as people prefer a direct link into town centre. TfL wouldn't allow the 353 to return to its former route hence my suggestion of it replacing the 466 between Addington Village and Croydon and the reduction in frequency shouldn't be a problem and I would reroute the 433 to do a double run to Forestdale. Given the 433 is already quite a round the houses type of route wouldn't that affect journey times and reliability even more. I agree about tfl most likely not allowing that to happen. |
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Post by DE20106 on Oct 23, 2023 14:55:45 GMT
Wow just seen the new usage figures have been uploaded.
It does look like bus usage has increased on last year which is good, but still some way off covid levels. It’s been suggested that bus and tube usage figures are still hovering under 85% of pre covid levels.
That 10mill+ club is certainly seeming like quite an elite club for bus routes now, just five in it. The 25 back into the 10 millions, a huge increase on last years 8.4m to 10.4. That trajectory will see it rightfully crowned as London’s busiest bus route again! Certainly deserves to, I’d imagine a lot of people are using it again for quick journeys to Liz line stations along it
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Post by southlondonbus on Oct 23, 2023 16:07:17 GMT
Wow just seen the new usage figures have been uploaded. It does look like bus usage has increased on last year which is good, but still some way off covid levels. It’s been suggested that bus and tube usage figures are still hovering under 85% of pre covid levels. That 10mill+ club is certainly seeming like quite an elite club for bus routes now, just five in it. The 25 back into the 10 millions, a huge increase on last years 8.4m to 10.4. That trajectory will see it rightfully crowned as London’s busiest bus route again! Certainly deserves to, I’d imagine a lot of people are using it again for quick journeys to Liz line stations along it This year may be slightly squed by the fact there have been so many tube strikes which obviously pushes people on to buses. And article very recently had the future at 84% average a day. Better then it was no doubt but it will worth remembering 2019 wasn't a bumper year for bus usage in central London or even zone 2 and we had already had 2 consultations based on continuous decline in the late 2010s. As for 25 unfortunately I think the City Thameslink cutback and the switch of the Ilford Shorts onto the 425 make it being crowed number 1 again unlikely. That said I totally agree that it's proving a strong use to feed into Elizabeth Line stations. |
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Post by DE20106 on Oct 23, 2023 18:09:10 GMT
Just done a bit of number crunching in Excel on these figures, and there are some routes in here which have become real success stories.
The 289 is the biggest one, its usage rocketed to over 3 million journeys last year for the first time ever. 300k more than its 2nd busiest year in 2018/19. Little wonder TfL saw the opportunity to deck it. This increase wasn’t fuelled by any route changes either, new housing on the route maybe?
The 81, 90, 127, 419, 423, 440, 482, 490 and X26/SL7 also had their busiest years last year by huge margins, with no obvious increases or route changes. I notice a lot of those go very near Heathrow, presumably there’s been a boom there in travel and job numbers.
The 158’s frequency increase, the 481s and H98s deckings helped them have their busiest years. I expect the X26/SL7 to probably double in usage next year from its doubled frequency.
The 110, 112, 129 had their busiest years thanks to significant extensions.
The 301, 304, 306, 335, 378, 456, 533 and X140/SL9 had their busiest years due to being very new
The 375 and 404 had their biggest years too, but being very small it’s not a huge volume.
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Post by TB123 on Oct 23, 2023 18:15:50 GMT
Just done a bit of number crunching in Excel on these figures, and there are some routes in here which have become real success stories. The 289 is the biggest one, its usage rocketed to over 3 million journeys last year for the first time ever. 300k more than its 2nd busiest year in 2018/19. Little wonder TfL saw the opportunity to deck it. This increase wasn’t fuelled by any route changes either, new housing on the route maybe? The 81, 90, 127, 419, 423, 440, 482, 490 and X26/SL7 also had their busiest years last year by huge margins, with no obvious increases or route changes. I notice a lot of those go very near Heathrow, presumably there’s been a boom there in travel and job numbers. The 158’s frequency increase, the 481s and H98s deckings helped them have their busiest years. I expect the X26/SL7 to probably double in usage next year from its doubled frequency. The 110, 112, 129 had their busiest years thanks to significant extensions. The 301, 304, 306, 335, 378, 456, 533 and X140/SL9 had their busiest years due to being very new The 375 and 404 had their biggest years too, but being very small it’s not a huge volume. There's been quite a bit of new units come online in Purley. But let's not forget this is the first proper year of the 5bph frequency, having been 4bph prior to August 2019. That was a big jump. This is probably that impact coming through |
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Post by southlondonbus on Oct 23, 2023 18:26:02 GMT
Just done a bit of number crunching in Excel on these figures, and there are some routes in here which have become real success stories. The 289 is the biggest one, its usage rocketed to over 3 million journeys last year for the first time ever. 300k more than its 2nd busiest year in 2018/19. Little wonder TfL saw the opportunity to deck it. This increase wasn’t fuelled by any route changes either, new housing on the route maybe? The 81, 90, 127, 419, 423, 440, 482, 490 and X26/SL7 also had their busiest years last year by huge margins, with no obvious increases or route changes. I notice a lot of those go very near Heathrow, presumably there’s been a boom there in travel and job numbers. The 158’s frequency increase, the 481s and H98s deckings helped them have their busiest years. I expect the X26/SL7 to probably double in usage next year from its doubled frequency. The 110, 112, 129 had their busiest years thanks to significant extensions. The 301, 304, 306, 335, 378, 456, 533 and X140/SL9 had their busiest years due to being very new The 375 and 404 had their biggest years too, but being very small it’s not a huge volume. There's been quite a bit of new units come online in Purley. But let's not forget this is the first proper year of the 5bph frequency, having been 4bph prior to August 2019. That was a big jump. This is probably that impact coming through It may drop slightly though when the 439 starts as effectively it will assist between Waddon Marsh and Purley. |
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Post by DT 11 on Oct 23, 2023 18:43:25 GMT
Just done a bit of number crunching in Excel on these figures, and there are some routes in here which have become real success stories. The 289 is the biggest one, its usage rocketed to over 3 million journeys last year for the first time ever. 300k more than its 2nd busiest year in 2018/19. Little wonder TfL saw the opportunity to deck it. This increase wasn’t fuelled by any route changes either, new housing on the route maybe? The 81, 90, 127, 419, 423, 440, 482, 490 and X26/SL7 also had their busiest years last year by huge margins, with no obvious increases or route changes. I notice a lot of those go very near Heathrow, presumably there’s been a boom there in travel and job numbers. The 158’s frequency increase, the 481s and H98s deckings helped them have their busiest years. I expect the X26/SL7 to probably double in usage next year from its doubled frequency. The 110, 112, 129 had their busiest years thanks to significant extensions. The 301, 304, 306, 335, 378, 456, 533 and X140/SL9 had their busiest years due to being very new The 375 and 404 had their biggest years too, but being very small it’s not a huge volume. There's been quite a bit of new units come online in Purley. But let's not forget this is the first proper year of the 5bph frequency, having been 4bph prior to August 2019. That was a big jump. This is probably that impact coming through has been mentioning the 289 needing double deckers for a long while now. I remember doing the 289 once as a double decker and it filled up at Purley Station. |
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Post by evergreenadam on Oct 23, 2023 18:46:14 GMT
Just done a bit of number crunching in Excel on these figures, and there are some routes in here which have become real success stories. The 289 is the biggest one, its usage rocketed to over 3 million journeys last year for the first time ever. 300k more than its 2nd busiest year in 2018/19. Little wonder TfL saw the opportunity to deck it. This increase wasn’t fuelled by any route changes either, new housing on the route maybe? The 81, 90, 127, 419, 423, 440, 482, 490 and X26/SL7 also had their busiest years last year by huge margins, with no obvious increases or route changes. I notice a lot of those go very near Heathrow, presumably there’s been a boom there in travel and job numbers. The 158’s frequency increase, the 481s and H98s deckings helped them have their busiest years. I expect the X26/SL7 to probably double in usage next year from its doubled frequency. The 110, 112, 129 had their busiest years thanks to significant extensions. The 301, 304, 306, 335, 378, 456, 533 and X140/SL9 had their busiest years due to being very new The 375 and 404 had their biggest years too, but being very small it’s not a huge volume. Did the increase on the 5 Heathrow routes also coincide with the end of the Heathrow free travel zone? |
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Post by southlondon413 on Oct 23, 2023 19:13:26 GMT
Just done a bit of number crunching in Excel on these figures, and there are some routes in here which have become real success stories. The 289 is the biggest one, its usage rocketed to over 3 million journeys last year for the first time ever. 300k more than its 2nd busiest year in 2018/19. Little wonder TfL saw the opportunity to deck it. This increase wasn’t fuelled by any route changes either, new housing on the route maybe? The 81, 90, 127, 419, 423, 440, 482, 490 and X26/SL7 also had their busiest years last year by huge margins, with no obvious increases or route changes. I notice a lot of those go very near Heathrow, presumably there’s been a boom there in travel and job numbers. The 158’s frequency increase, the 481s and H98s deckings helped them have their busiest years. I expect the X26/SL7 to probably double in usage next year from its doubled frequency. The 110, 112, 129 had their busiest years thanks to significant extensions. The 301, 304, 306, 335, 378, 456, 533 and X140/SL9 had their busiest years due to being very new The 375 and 404 had their biggest years too, but being very small it’s not a huge volume. Did the increase on the 5 Heathrow routes also coincide with the end of the Heathrow free travel zone? You’d immediately have to discount the x26 as it was never included in the free travel zone. |
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Post by abellion on Jan 3, 2024 18:50:57 GMT
24 hours daily night elements ranking (123, 158, 486 omitted of course)
243: 411,432
35: 402,701
Big drop
149: 370,256
453: 329,010
14: 327,177
Another big drop
176: 271,602
148: 257,563
36: 243,813
6: 235,741
12: 226,107
105: 203,001
43: 197,898
341: 194,375
76: 194,133
238: 185,476
390: 160,628
111: 154,998
214: 153,586
297: 142,682
47: 141,948
139: 140,834
37: 134,338
128: 132,272
13: 131,978
69: 131,378
57: 131,051
94: 128,991
285: 128,864
188: 128,327
159: 125,708
88: 125,419
EL1: 123,840
134: 122,564
345: 117,507
344: 116,740
295: 109,629
108: 106,490
220: 105,604
102: 105,123
52: 97,897
189: 87,489
281: 86,384
24: 81,955
93: 81,106
23: 77,089
264: 70,759
321: 67,190
119: 67,121
472: 64,467
64: 60,806
85: 60,198
474: 56,957
365: 50,081
213: 43,328
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Post by southlondonbus on Jan 3, 2024 21:05:15 GMT
24 hours daily night elements ranking (123, 158, 486 omitted of course) 243: 411,432 35: 402,701 Big drop 149: 370,256 453: 329,010 14: 327,177 Another big drop 176: 271,602 148: 257,563 36: 243,813 6: 235,741 12: 226,107 105: 203,001 43: 197,898 341: 194,375 76: 194,133 238: 185,476 390: 160,628 111: 154,998 214: 153,586 297: 142,682 47: 141,948 139: 140,834 37: 134,338 128: 132,272 13: 131,978 69: 131,378 57: 131,051 94: 128,991 285: 128,864 188: 128,327 159: 125,708 88: 125,419 EL1: 123,840 134: 122,564 345: 117,507 344: 116,740 295: 109,629 108: 106,490 220: 105,604 102: 105,123 52: 97,897 189: 87,489 281: 86,384 24: 81,955 93: 81,106 23: 77,089 264: 70,759 321: 67,190 119: 67,121 472: 64,467 64: 60,806 85: 60,198 474: 56,957 365: 50,081 213: 43,328 Are they the night bus elements of those routes? |
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Post by abellion on Jan 3, 2024 22:44:50 GMT
24 hours daily night elements ranking (123, 158, 486 omitted of course) 243: 411,432 35: 402,701 Big drop 149: 370,256 453: 329,010 14: 327,177 Another big drop 176: 271,602 148: 257,563 36: 243,813 6: 235,741 12: 226,107 105: 203,001 43: 197,898 341: 194,375 76: 194,133 238: 185,476 390: 160,628 111: 154,998 214: 153,586 297: 142,682 47: 141,948 139: 140,834 37: 134,338 128: 132,272 13: 131,978 69: 131,378 57: 131,051 94: 128,991 285: 128,864 188: 128,327 159: 125,708 88: 125,419 EL1: 123,840 134: 122,564 345: 117,507 344: 116,740 295: 109,629 108: 106,490 220: 105,604 102: 105,123 52: 97,897 189: 87,489 281: 86,384 24: 81,955 93: 81,106 23: 77,089 264: 70,759 321: 67,190 119: 67,121 472: 64,467 64: 60,806 85: 60,198 474: 56,957 365: 50,081 213: 43,328 Are they the night bus elements of those routes? Yep, hence the lower numbers |
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Post by surab21 on Jan 10, 2024 22:51:39 GMT
Thank you for this. How about DD least routes list? if possible. Top 20 least used double deck routes: 20: 405 - 1,388,941 (+1) 19: 496 - 1,343,530 (-1) 18: 418 - 1,330,996 (+3) 17: 401 - 1,324,745 (new) 16: 313 - 1,319,070 (-1) 15: 292 - 1,316,312 (-3) 14: 372 - 1,270,479 (-2) 13: 335 - 1,227,336 (+1) 12: 357 - 1,183,293 (-2) 11: 353 - 1,165,801 (-2) 10: 406 - 1,117,460 (+1) 9: 428 - 1,083,684 (-2) 8: 492 - 1,070,354 (-2) 7: 215 - 956,420 (-1) 6: 498 - 840,967 (-1) 5: 317 - 764,552 (-) 4: 412 - 698,837 (-) 3: 481 - 505,713 (-) 2: X68 - 328,173 (-) 1: 467 - 130,456 (-) The 129 jumped off this list after it was extended to Lewisham. It was previously at no. 6. Does TfL receive funds from Herts for the 292? If not, I can easily see it being withdrawn or severely reduced now that the 384 covers the Edgware to Stirling Corner section. Perhaps complimented by a fiddle with the 107 around Manor Way/Balmoral Drive. |
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