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Post by Eastlondoner62 on Oct 29, 2020 19:55:45 GMT
I know we aren't in the US, but I think as this will have global impacts might be worth starting a thread to discuss this issue over the next few weeks as things unfold.
Currently Odds are heavily in favour of Joe Biden, with him looking like he might take the majority of swing states and even traditionally Republican voting Texas apparently has a chance of voting Democrat this time around. Polls from the postal votes are showing a likely Biden victory however we still have Election Day to come as well.
Joe Biden's odds on flipping Trump states on odds checker are as follows
Alabama - 5.9%
Alaska - 13.3%
Arizona - 60%
Arkansas - 6.7%
Florida - 50%
Georgia - 43.5%
Idaho 5.9%
Indiana - 10%
Iowa - 40%
Kansas 7.7%
Kentucky - 6.7%
Louisiana - 6.7%
Missouri - 12.5%
Montana - 10%
Nebraska - 7.7%
North Carolina - 54.9%
North Dakota - 5.9%
Ohio - 36.4%
Oklahoma - 6.7%
Pennsylvania - 70.4%
South Carolina - 12.5%
South Dakota - 5.9%
Tennessee - 7.7%
Texas - 28.6%
Utah - 9.1%
West Virginia - 5.9%
Wisconsin - 70.4%
Wyoming - 5.9%
While Trump's odds on flipping a Clinton State are as follows...
California - 5.3%
Colorado - 10%
Connecticut - 7.7%
Delaware - 6.7%
Hawaii - 5.9%
Illinois - 7.7%
Maine - 13.3%
Maryland - 5.9%
Massachusetts - 5.9%
Minnesota - 25%
Nevada - 28.6%
New Hampshire - 22.2%
New Jersey - 6.7%
New Mexico - 9.5%
New York - 5.9%
Oregon - 9.1%
Rhode Island - 7.7%
Vermont - 6.7%
Virginia - 10%
Washington State - 7.7%
Also seeing as we're all based in the UK. The implications for the UK do however seem to be noticeable worse should Biden win as he has a much stronger pro-EU agenda than Trump has, alongside Johnson's view on getting a deal with the USA sorter quite quickly. It's expected (according to the guardian) that a Biden Administration is much more likely to prefer France and Germany as trade partners.
You also do have a. few other issues, Johnson has made some quite silly comments about Democrat Barack Obama where he was opposed to Brexit due to his Kenyan heritage.
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Post by Deleted on Oct 29, 2020 23:13:52 GMT
I know we aren't in the US, but I think as this will have global impacts might be worth starting a thread to discuss this issue over the next few weeks as things unfold. Currently Odds are heavily in favour of Joe Biden, with him looking like he might take the majority of swing states and even traditionally Republican voting Texas apparently has a chance of voting Democrat this time around. Polls from the postal votes are showing a likely Biden victory however we still have Election Day to come as well. Joe Biden's odds on flipping Trump states on odds checker are as follows Alabama - 5.9% Alaska - 13.3% Arizona - 60% Arkansas - 6.7% Florida - 50% Georgia - 43.5% Idaho 5.9% Indiana - 10% Iowa - 40% Kansas 7.7% Kentucky - 6.7% Louisiana - 6.7% Missouri - 12.5% Montana - 10% Nebraska - 7.7% North Carolina - 54.9% North Dakota - 5.9% Ohio - 36.4% Oklahoma - 6.7% Pennsylvania - 70.4% South Carolina - 12.5% South Dakota - 5.9% Tennessee - 7.7% Texas - 28.6% Utah - 9.1% West Virginia - 5.9% Wisconsin - 70.4% Wyoming - 5.9% While Trump's odds on flipping a Clinton State are as follows... California - 5.3% Colorado - 10% Connecticut - 7.7% Delaware - 6.7% Hawaii - 5.9% Illinois - 7.7% Maine - 13.3% Maryland - 5.9% Massachusetts - 5.9% Minnesota - 25% Nevada - 28.6% New Hampshire - 22.2% New Jersey - 6.7% New Mexico - 9.5% New York - 5.9% Oregon - 9.1% Rhode Island - 7.7% Vermont - 6.7% Virginia - 10% Washington State - 7.7% Also seeing as we're all based in the UK. The implications for the UK do however seem to be noticeable worse should Biden win as he has a much stronger pro-EU agenda than Trump has, alongside Johnson's view on getting a deal with the USA sorter quite quickly. It's expected (according to the guardian) that a Biden Administration is much more likely to prefer France and Germany as trade partners. You also do have a. few other issues, Johnson has made some quite silly comments about Democrat Barack Obama where he was opposed to Brexit due to his Kenyan heritage. Shame it doesn’t count for much if the electoral college doesn’t vote with Biden. Let’s not forget that Trump lost the popular vote at the last election but won because of the electoral college, same with Bush in 2000. |
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Post by LondonNorthern on Oct 30, 2020 17:27:10 GMT
I know we aren't in the US, but I think as this will have global impacts might be worth starting a thread to discuss this issue over the next few weeks as things unfold. Currently Odds are heavily in favour of Joe Biden, with him looking like he might take the majority of swing states and even traditionally Republican voting Texas apparently has a chance of voting Democrat this time around. Polls from the postal votes are showing a likely Biden victory however we still have Election Day to come as well. Joe Biden's odds on flipping Trump states on odds checker are as follows Alabama - 5.9% Alaska - 13.3% Arizona - 60% Arkansas - 6.7% Florida - 50% Georgia - 43.5% Idaho 5.9% Indiana - 10% Iowa - 40% Kansas 7.7% Kentucky - 6.7% Louisiana - 6.7% Missouri - 12.5% Montana - 10% Nebraska - 7.7% North Carolina - 54.9% North Dakota - 5.9% Ohio - 36.4% Oklahoma - 6.7% Pennsylvania - 70.4% South Carolina - 12.5% South Dakota - 5.9% Tennessee - 7.7% Texas - 28.6% Utah - 9.1% West Virginia - 5.9% Wisconsin - 70.4% Wyoming - 5.9% While Trump's odds on flipping a Clinton State are as follows... California - 5.3% Colorado - 10% Connecticut - 7.7% Delaware - 6.7% Hawaii - 5.9% Illinois - 7.7% Maine - 13.3% Maryland - 5.9% Massachusetts - 5.9% Minnesota - 25% Nevada - 28.6% New Hampshire - 22.2% New Jersey - 6.7% New Mexico - 9.5% New York - 5.9% Oregon - 9.1% Rhode Island - 7.7% Vermont - 6.7% Virginia - 10% Washington State - 7.7% Also seeing as we're all based in the UK. The implications for the UK do however seem to be noticeable worse should Biden win as he has a much stronger pro-EU agenda than Trump has, alongside Johnson's view on getting a deal with the USA sorter quite quickly. It's expected (according to the guardian) that a Biden Administration is much more likely to prefer France and Germany as trade partners. You also do have a. few other issues, Johnson has made some quite silly comments about Democrat Barack Obama where he was opposed to Brexit due to his Kenyan heritage. I wouldn't vote either but I would quite like the next president to pull out of the UN which would more likely be Trump |
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Post by Eastlondoner62 on Nov 4, 2020 20:45:15 GMT
If today hasn't been eventful then I don't know what is. However looks like Biden is going to take a few more states even though Trump looks to take Pennsylvania.
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Post by capitalomnibus on Nov 4, 2020 21:56:26 GMT
I know we aren't in the US, but I think as this will have global impacts might be worth starting a thread to discuss this issue over the next few weeks as things unfold. Currently Odds are heavily in favour of Joe Biden, with him looking like he might take the majority of swing states and even traditionally Republican voting Texas apparently has a chance of voting Democrat this time around. Polls from the postal votes are showing a likely Biden victory however we still have Election Day to come as well. Joe Biden's odds on flipping Trump states on odds checker are as follows Alabama - 5.9% Alaska - 13.3% Arizona - 60% Arkansas - 6.7% Florida - 50% Georgia - 43.5% Idaho 5.9% Indiana - 10% Iowa - 40% Kansas 7.7% Kentucky - 6.7% Louisiana - 6.7% Missouri - 12.5% Montana - 10% Nebraska - 7.7% North Carolina - 54.9% North Dakota - 5.9% Ohio - 36.4% Oklahoma - 6.7% Pennsylvania - 70.4% South Carolina - 12.5% South Dakota - 5.9% Tennessee - 7.7% Texas - 28.6% Utah - 9.1% West Virginia - 5.9% Wisconsin - 70.4% Wyoming - 5.9% While Trump's odds on flipping a Clinton State are as follows... California - 5.3% Colorado - 10% Connecticut - 7.7% Delaware - 6.7% Hawaii - 5.9% Illinois - 7.7% Maine - 13.3% Maryland - 5.9% Massachusetts - 5.9% Minnesota - 25% Nevada - 28.6% New Hampshire - 22.2% New Jersey - 6.7% New Mexico - 9.5% New York - 5.9% Oregon - 9.1% Rhode Island - 7.7% Vermont - 6.7% Virginia - 10% Washington State - 7.7% Also seeing as we're all based in the UK. The implications for the UK do however seem to be noticeable worse should Biden win as he has a much stronger pro-EU agenda than Trump has, alongside Johnson's view on getting a deal with the USA sorter quite quickly. It's expected (according to the guardian) that a Biden Administration is much more likely to prefer France and Germany as trade partners. You also do have a. few other issues, Johnson has made some quite silly comments about Democrat Barack Obama where he was opposed to Brexit due to his Kenyan heritage. I wouldn't vote either but I would quite like the next president to pull out of the UN which would more likely be Trump What is wrong with the UN |
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Post by LondonNorthern on Nov 4, 2020 22:29:04 GMT
I wouldn't vote either but I would quite like the next president to pull out of the UN which would more likely be Trump What is wrong with the UN Don't really like how it is being run and is imo a rather outdated concept |
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Post by vjaska on Nov 5, 2020 0:06:40 GMT
What is wrong with the UN Don't really like how it is being run and is imo a rather outdated concept And what do suggest as an alternative? |
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Post by vjaska on Nov 5, 2020 0:45:26 GMT
If today hasn't been eventful then I don't know what is. However looks like Biden is going to take a few more states even though Trump looks to take Pennsylvania. I actually stayed up and watched it as I was interested in learning a bit about their elections in general - ITV's coverage last night was very good I must say. Anyway, hopefully Biden gets in and fingers crossed he takes the Senate as well. |
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Post by ronnie on Nov 5, 2020 0:46:02 GMT
Don't really like how it is being run and is imo a rather outdated concept And what do suggest as an alternative? It’s a touch outdated, that I agree with. The entire permanent members having veto rights in the security council is of a bygone era and needs reform to be honest |
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Post by vjaska on Nov 5, 2020 2:58:29 GMT
And what do suggest as an alternative? It’s a touch outdated, that I agree with. The entire permanent members having veto rights in the security council is of a bygone era and needs reform to be honest Outdated maybe but the OP said to pull out completely, how does that help anyone given why the UN was set up in the first place? |
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Post by ronnie on Nov 5, 2020 7:15:53 GMT
It’s a touch outdated, that I agree with. The entire permanent members having veto rights in the security council is of a bygone era and needs reform to be honest Outdated maybe but the OP said to pull out completely, how does that help anyone given why the UN was set up in the first place? Ah ok. Makes sense, pulling out is slightly over the top although a lot of it is driven by the lackadaisical efforts of the WHO My point was more on reforms as the UN today is arguably a 1940s setup in dire need of reform. It’s still doing a good job in most respects although if it doesn’t reform more countries may get frustrated and pull out abs then it will go the League of Nations way. We do live in very interesting times from a geopolitical perspective |
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Post by Eastlondoner62 on Nov 6, 2020 13:57:23 GMT
Biden just took the lead in PA, looking very likely that he's going to win the Presidential race now. All remaining ballots are likely to heavily be Biden wins. Also looking like he will take Georgia.
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Post by Deleted on Nov 6, 2020 14:08:02 GMT
Biden just took the lead in PA, looking very likely that he's going to win the Presidential race now. All remaining ballots are likely to heavily be Biden wins. Also looking like he will take Georgia. Finally some good news in 2020. |
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Post by bus12451 on Nov 6, 2020 14:17:09 GMT
Biden just took the lead in PA, looking very likely that he's going to win the Presidential race now. All remaining ballots are likely to heavily be Biden wins. Also looking like he will take Georgia. To finally see the end of Trump warms my heart. Even his own party wants him out which I find hilarious. |
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Post by Deleted on Nov 6, 2020 16:50:05 GMT
Hopefully he will tone down his rhetoric now. Lots of dangerous armed fanatics out there ready to do as he tells them.
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