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Post by capitalomnibus on Jan 25, 2024 1:28:54 GMT
My, we are a cheerful lot! World War 3 for goodness sake!For what it is worth, my thoughts are: - If there is to be another significant war, then Yemen looks likely. They are already in civil war and the ingredients are right for escalation unfortunately. The other two major wars in the world at the moment look likely to either do nothing quickly (Ukraine) or return to an uneasy distrust (Gaza). - elections - probably a Labour victory in both London Mayoral and general. I can’t see Susan Hall doing anything much - what she gains in outer London won’t be enough for the keys to City Hall. The general election may slip to January 2025, but the current government look totally washed up and finished. A Labour victory may upset many with far right views, and this may be a worry as we move through the new parliament. - TfL land - a better year than of late. Superloop will do well, and I think the Bakerloo extension to Lewisham may come back to the table. A few new bus consultations look likely - my guess is that these will be for Brixton, Lewisham, Kingston, Ilford/Barking and Barnet. We won’t lose any operators this year from TfL contracts. On the negative side, I think huge numbers of bus contracts will be thrown back from myriad operators, and I don’t think it will be an easy year for industrial relations, particularly on the Underground. - buses in the South East generally - some areas will get better (Surrey, Hertfordshire), some will stagnate (Buckinghamshire, Berkshire), some will deteriorate (Essex) and some will see savage cutting (Kent). Indeed, in Kent, I can see possibly some operator failures - even after its takeover, I fear for Go-Coach. There you go, for better or worse. |
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Post by LD71YLO (BE37054) on Jan 27, 2024 15:13:50 GMT
The total PVR at RATP will reduce to its lowest value since purchasing Sovereign, even despite the purchase of X since.
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Post by MetrolineGA1511 on Jan 27, 2024 22:08:35 GMT
The total PVR at RATP will reduce to its lowest value since purchasing Sovereign, even despite the purchase of X since. Even this fall in pvr is before the retender announcement of many of their routes, most notably in Kingston. At this rate it could fall from #5 to #6 in the ranking of London bus operators. |
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Post by londonbuses on Feb 3, 2024 22:59:45 GMT
Just noticed this thread, I'll give a few bus related predictions:
This will be the "year of the consultation," with major changes to the bus network proposed for many areas.
All of the operators will begin to bid much more sustainably (this is a given in my opinion).
RATP will sell off a small part of their operations, but will bounce back and begin to win quite a few routes towards the end of the year.
Abellio/Transport UK will begin operations from a new garage, either a new site or one bought from RATP.
The Superloop will be a success, particularly the routes in South London due to the poor rail and tube links.
The SL7 will have a planned frequency increase to 5bph for its new contract in April 2025 to match the other Superloop routes, and Go-Ahead will lose the route.
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Post by cardinal on Feb 13, 2024 12:51:47 GMT
Nuclear exchange in 2025.
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Post by capitalomnibus on Jul 24, 2024 0:42:14 GMT
My, we are a cheerful lot! World War 3 for goodness sake!For what it is worth, my thoughts are: - If there is to be another significant war, then Yemen looks likely. They are already in civil war and the ingredients are right for escalation unfortunately. The other two major wars in the world at the moment look likely to either do nothing quickly (Ukraine) or return to an uneasy distrust (Gaza). - elections - probably a Labour victory in both London Mayoral and general. I can’t see Susan Hall doing anything much - what she gains in outer London won’t be enough for the keys to City Hall. The general election may slip to January 2025, but the current government look totally washed up and finished. A Labour victory may upset many with far right views, and this may be a worry as we move through the new parliament. - TfL land - a better year than of late. Superloop will do well, and I think the Bakerloo extension to Lewisham may come back to the table. A few new bus consultations look likely - my guess is that these will be for Brixton, Lewisham, Kingston, Ilford/Barking and Barnet. We won’t lose any operators this year from TfL contracts. On the negative side, I think huge numbers of bus contracts will be thrown back from myriad operators, and I don’t think it will be an easy year for industrial relations, particularly on the Underground. - buses in the South East generally - some areas will get better (Surrey, Hertfordshire), some will stagnate (Buckinghamshire, Berkshire), some will deteriorate (Essex) and some will see savage cutting (Kent). Indeed, in Kent, I can see possibly some operator failures - even after its takeover, I fear for Go-Coach. There you go, for better or worse. |
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